Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 370.840461 421.507452 478.027019 546.015162 625.928996 717.301307 830.285633
2025-08-31 290.544275 355.159989 433.885786 537.904806 673.287856 845.690358 1085.368945
2025-09-07 250.101973 320.678412 411.861417 540.314595 719.894190 967.093378 1342.216771
2025-09-14 217.274553 288.905993 385.720862 529.131516 741.417796 1052.837018 1561.461946
2025-09-21 195.222165 267.761099 369.677042 527.408716 773.048632 1154.746656 1822.055175
2025-09-28 171.959847 241.722896 342.815684 504.913827 768.074308 1197.083770 1991.784599
2025-10-05 163.385909 235.765835 344.185711 524.845915 831.873428 1359.950944 2404.880541
2025-10-12 156.941165 232.077228 348.188657 548.875978 905.337689 1551.535260 2917.585375
2025-10-19 147.028867 221.876387 340.586972 552.193988 942.489581 1683.001559 3342.652505
2025-10-26 135.198084 207.456559 324.548318 538.708251 946.464075 1750.792192 3647.383373
2025-11-02 125.564243 195.742012 311.807209 529.387930 956.590413 1831.993641 4003.168292
2025-11-09 120.975065 191.972191 312.134098 543.817430 1015.107904 2024.733092 4683.640194
2025-11-16 113.817838 183.425224 303.630075 541.198080 1039.907301 2151.861531 5245.811758
2025-11-23 106.426667 173.908539 292.576348 532.433337 1050.683249 2249.874696 5764.234849
2025-11-30 101.326738 167.997437 287.497013 534.851051 1086.038234 2413.663188 6533.027238
2025-12-07 94.961096 159.317475 276.482306 523.801291 1089.206436 2497.754238 7086.586355
2025-12-14 90.324999 153.445714 270.276717 522.099359 1113.878216 2643.139399 7900.983200
2025-12-21 83.691474 143.419563 255.255003 499.874504 1086.036934 2640.939735 8199.778703
2025-12-28 82.280651 143.087303 259.188731 519.567435 1164.715785 2955.589924 9814.783554
2026-01-04 81.315454 143.514442 264.643442 543.306783 1257.955243 3338.091007 11913.566950
2026-01-11 78.347860 139.837286 261.400440 546.584451 1297.732607 3566.992422 13490.229101
2026-01-18 74.036540 133.236779 251.579962 533.262378 1290.111284 3641.632765 14399.694347
2026-01-25 70.408144 127.781316 243.785113 524.054698 1292.824181 3752.514787 15558.137744